The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Vanderbilt Commodores v Illinois Fighting Illini

Kickoff: 2026-03-23 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vanderbilt Commodores (Local)

Prediction 86.21%1.16fair odd
EV -3.44%
Edge -3.07%
Kelly -28.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.30%86.23%86.48%87.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.101.101.1292.59%90.66%90.91%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit)

Prediction 13.79%7.25fair odd
EV +3.39%
Edge +0.453%
Kelly +0.522%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.79%13.77%13.52%14.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.406.836.637.5015.63%14.64%15.09%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vanderbilt Commodores (Local): 86.21%; Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit): 13.79%. For Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.25. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.39%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.16%E -4.69%K -51.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +3.39%E +0.453%K +0.522%G +0.018%4.2%2026-03-23 06:38
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90%EV -5.16%E -4.69%K -51.64%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10%EV +0.637%E +0.087%K +0.101%G +0.001%4.6%2026-03-23 21:49
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -5.16%E -4.69%K -51.64%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -0.052%E -0.007%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 09:14
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -4.30%E -3.88%K -39.11%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV -2.12%E -0.299%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 21:50
Fliff🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.89%E -6.38%K -86.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -6.95%E -1.03%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-23 17:09
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.44%E -3.07%K -28.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 15:03
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.30%E -3.88%K -39.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 14:40
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.30%E -3.88%K -39.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 14:39
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.16%E -4.69%K -51.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.39%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 15:04
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -5.16%E -4.69%K -51.64%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -11.77%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-23 14:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.23%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.77%1.7%2026-03-23 22:54
Novig◎1.13I 88.50%NM 86.67%7.35I 13.61%NM 13.33%2.1%2026-03-23 22:50