The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Vanderbilt Commodores v Alabama Crimson Tide

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 00:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vanderbilt Commodores (Local)

Prediction 81.78%1.22fair odd
EV -3.50%
Edge -2.96%
Kelly -19.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.40%81.82%81.78%83.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.161.161.1888.50%86.36%86.21%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit)

Prediction 18.22%5.49fair odd
EV +4.76%
Edge +0.828%
Kelly +1.00%
Growth +0.048%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.55%18.18%18.22%19.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.175.075.7520.83%19.36%19.70%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vanderbilt Commodores (Local): 81.78%; Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit): 18.22%. For Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.49. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.76%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.77%E -5.94%K -48.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +4.76%E +0.828%K +1.00%G +0.048%5.1%2026-02-26 16:38
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.32%E -3.69%K -25.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -1.62%E -0.299%K -0.367%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 16:20
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -7.59%E -6.71%K -58.37%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -3.44%E -0.649%K -0.800%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 21:00
BetMGM🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.32%E -3.69%K -25.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.35%E -0.829%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 15:50
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.50%E -2.96%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -7.08%E -1.39%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 18:35
Fliff🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.45%EV -5.95%E -5.18%K -39.68%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.55%EV -7.99%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 00:24
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.13%E -4.43%K -32.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.90%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 19:20
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.13%E -4.43%K -32.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.90%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 19:20
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.95%E -5.18%K -39.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.90%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 18:45
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.32%E -3.69%K -25.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -12.55%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 16:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63%2.0%2026-02-27 00:09
Novig◎1.00I 100.00%NM 84.33%5.38I 18.59%NM 15.67%18.6%2026-02-26 21:35