The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UTSA Roadrunners v Memphis Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 21:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UTSA Roadrunners (Local)

Prediction 73.77%1.36fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -8.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.43%73.51%73.92%74.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.281.271.3279.37%78.05%78.74%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Memphis Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 26.23%3.81fair odd
EV -0.333%
Edge -0.088%
Kelly -0.119%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.20%26.49%26.08%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.593.603.8030.30%27.83%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UTSA Roadrunners (Local): 73.77%; Memphis Tigers (Visit): 26.23%. For Memphis Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -0.333%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -2.62%E -1.99%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -13.45%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 20:59
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.36%E -2.56%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 20:50
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.333%E -0.088%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 20:54
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.31%E -4.97%K -23.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.27%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 18:54
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.31%E -4.97%K -23.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.27%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 18:55
theScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.31%E -4.97%K -23.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 18:39
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.31%E -4.97%K -23.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.89%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 20:54
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.05%E -5.59%K -27.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 18:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-03-01 21:00