Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Utes v BYU Cougars

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Utes (Local)

Prediction 66.88%1.50fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -2.56%
Kelly -8.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.35%66.99%66.82%68.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.411.411.4471.94%70.82%70.92%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

BYU Cougars (Visit)

Prediction 33.12%3.02fair odd
EV -0.643%
Edge -0.214%
Kelly -0.322%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.82%33.01%33.18%33.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.852.813.0035.71%35.06%35.59%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Utes (Local): 66.88%; BYU Cougars (Visit): 33.12%. For BYU Cougars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -0.643%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.69%E -2.56%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.61%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 15:45
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.36%E -3.05%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.96%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.03%E -3.54%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.30%E -0.779%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 15:40
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.03%E -3.54%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 17:55
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.70%E -4.04%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 19:10
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.70%E -4.04%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 19:10
Caesars🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.37%E -4.55%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.643%E -0.214%K -0.322%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 20:53
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.82%EV -6.37%E -4.55%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -6.60%E -2.34%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 15:50
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.37%E -4.55%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 19:10
Fliff🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -7.04%E -5.06%K -18.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%3.0%2026-02-21 20:50