Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Utes v BYU Cougars

Kickoff: 2026-03-05 19:50 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

55%

45%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Utes (Local)

Prediction 55.22%1.81fair odd

EV +1.06%

Edge +0.579%

Kelly +1.28%

Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

51.33%54.83%55.17%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.651.751.741.8360.61%57.10%57.47%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

BYU Cougars (Visit)

Prediction 44.78%2.23fair odd

EV -1.49%

Edge -0.679%

Kelly -1.24%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

42.86%45.17%44.83%48.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.922.042.052.2052.08%48.92%48.78%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Utes (Local): 55.22%; BYU Cougars (Visit): 44.78%. For Utah Utes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.06%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Unibet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV +1.06%E +0.579%K +1.28%G +0.014%	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -13.58%E -7.04%K -14.60%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-05 19:44
Bally Bet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV +1.06%E +0.579%K +1.28%G +0.014%	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -13.58%E -7.04%K -14.60%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-05 19:45
BetRivers🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV +0.508%E +0.279%K +0.619%G +0.003%	1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -14.03%E -7.31%K -15.25%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-05 19:45
Caesars🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.21%E -4.00%K -7.82%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-05 19:43
DraftKings🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.49%E -0.679%K -1.24%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-05 19:45
FanDuel🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.17%EV -6.67%E -3.95%K -9.67%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 44.83%EV -6.87%E -3.30%K -6.36%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-03-05 19:45
BetMGM🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.88%E -5.38%K -13.66%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.49%E -0.679%K -1.24%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-05 19:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%	1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%	2.1%	2026-03-05 19:45