The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Utah State Aggies v Nevada Wolf Pack

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah State Aggies (Local)

Prediction 35.27%2.84fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.448%
Kelly -0.697%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.12%35.48%34.94%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.622.552.8040.00%38.20%39.22%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nevada Wolf Pack (Visit)

Prediction 64.73%1.54fair odd
EV -0.957%
Edge -0.626%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%64.52%65.06%65.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.471.481.5370.42%67.85%67.57%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah State Aggies (Local): 35.27%; Nevada Wolf Pack (Visit): 64.73%. For Nevada Wolf Pack (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.54. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.53, with an expected value of -0.957%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.25%E -0.448%K -0.697%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.14%E -4.23%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 20:45
FanDuel🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.13%EV -3.37%E -1.23%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.87%EV -8.08%E -5.69%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-03 20:55
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.14%E -4.23%K -13.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 20:45
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -10.07%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -0.957%E -0.626%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 21:05
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -10.07%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -3.55%E -2.38%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 19:25
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -10.07%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -3.55%E -2.38%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 19:25
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -10.07%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.19%E -2.83%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-03 19:25
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.19%E -2.83%K -8.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-03 21:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 34.38%1.54I 64.94%NM 65.63%-1.1%2026-03-04 00:20
Novig◎2.74I 36.50%NM 33.66%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.34%8.4%2026-03-04 00:35