Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.35
assuming max odds 3.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UConn Huskies (Local): 74.36%; South Carolina Gamecocks (Visit): 25.64%. For UConn Huskies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.34. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.386%.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV +0.386%E +0.286%K +1.10%G +0.004% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -19.23%E -6.11%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 23:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -0.358%E -0.267%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -19.23%E -6.11%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 23:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.08%E -3.16%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.57%E -0.675%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 23:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.08%E -3.16%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-03 23:08 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.08%E -3.16%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.82%E -3.77%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.85%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 23:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.56%E -4.38%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.28%E -0.334%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 23:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.05%E -5.64%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 23:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.05%E -5.64%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-03 23:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 79.12% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 20.88% | 26.4% | 2026-04-03 23:10 |