Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins v Washington Huskies

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 17:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins (Local)

Prediction 94.10%1.06fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -3.93%
Kelly -200.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
92.72%94.23%94.17%96.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.021.021.0299.01%98.36%98.04%98.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Huskies (Visit)

Prediction 5.90%16.96fair odd
EV +53.28%
Edge +2.05%
Kelly +2.13%
Growth +1.14%

assuming max odds 26.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.74%5.77%5.83%7.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
13.0017.5516.7526.007.69%5.70%5.97%3.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCLA Bruins (Local): 94.10%; Washington Huskies (Visit): 5.90%. For Washington Huskies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 16.96. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 26.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +53.28%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.95%E -4.91%K -495.44%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +53.28%E +2.05%K +2.13%G +1.14%2.9%2026-03-06 17:00
DraftKings🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.01%E -3.93%K -200.67%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +12.01%E +0.632%K +0.667%G +0.080%3.3%2026-03-06 17:00
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.01%E -3.93%K -200.67%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +12.01%E +0.632%K +0.667%G +0.080%3.3%2026-03-06 16:59
BetMGM🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -4.01%E -3.93%K -200.67%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV -14.52%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 16:59
FanDuel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.18%EV -4.95%E -4.91%K -495.44%G +0.000%13.80I 7.25%NM 6.82%EV -18.64%E -1.35%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 17:00
Fanatics🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.01%E -3.93%K -200.67%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -23.36%E -1.80%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.02I 98.04%NM 96.08%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.92%2.0%2026-03-06 17:00
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 94.16%16.13I 6.20%NM 5.84%6.2%2026-03-06 16:59