The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UCLA Bruins v Texas Longhorns

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 01:42 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins (Local)

Prediction 40.05%2.50fair odd
EV +3.32%
Edge +1.29%
Kelly +2.10%
Growth +0.070%

assuming max odds 2.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.23%39.90%40.05%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.372.352.5844.44%42.18%42.55%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Longhorns (Visit)

Prediction 59.95%1.67fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -4.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%60.10%59.95%62.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.581.591.6265.36%63.13%62.89%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCLA Bruins (Local): 40.05%; Texas Longhorns (Visit): 59.95%. For UCLA Bruins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.58, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.32%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV +3.32%E +1.29%K +2.10%G +0.070%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -8.27%E -5.41%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 01:38
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +0.119%E +0.047%K +0.079%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.47%E -4.15%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 01:14
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.68%E -2.94%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 01:29
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -4.69%E -1.97%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.68%E -2.94%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 01:30
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.89%E -2.51%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.08%E -2.55%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 01:19
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.89%E -2.51%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.08%E -2.55%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 01:20
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.89%E -2.51%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.68%E -2.94%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 01:30
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.89%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.47%E -4.15%K -11.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 01:30
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.89%E -4.40%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.88%E -1.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 01:30
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.89%E -4.40%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.08%E -2.55%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 01:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-04-04 01:25
Novig◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%2.8%2026-04-04 01:40