Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins v South Carolina Gamecocks

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 19:42 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins (Local)

Prediction 36.29%2.76fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.747%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.41%36.30%36.27%37.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.622.602.7039.22%38.18%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Carolina Gamecocks (Visit)

Prediction 63.71%1.57fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -4.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.75%63.70%63.73%64.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.491.491.5368.97%67.20%67.11%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCLA Bruins (Local): 36.29%; South Carolina Gamecocks (Visit): 63.71%. For UCLA Bruins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -2.02%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.02%E -0.747%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.07%E -3.40%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 19:24
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.02%E -0.747%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 19:39
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.83%E -1.45%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.07%E -3.40%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 19:25
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.83%E -1.45%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.07%E -3.40%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 19:24
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 19:24
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 19:30
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.62%E -5.26%K -16.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 19:09
Caesars🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -6.37%E -2.47%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -2.52%E -1.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 19:39
FanDuel🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -7.10%E -2.77%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 19:35
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.46%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.62%E -5.26%K -16.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 19:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%1.8%2026-04-05 19:40