Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins v Oklahoma St Cowgirls

Kickoff: 2026-03-24 02:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins (Local)

Prediction 96.74%1.03fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -3.26%
Kelly +0.000%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
96.61%96.74%96.74%96.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.001.001.00100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma St Cowgirls (Visit)

Prediction 3.26%30.70fair odd
EV +0.980%
Edge +0.032%
Kelly +0.033%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 31.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.13%3.26%3.26%3.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
28.5029.7529.7531.003.51%3.36%3.36%3.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCLA Bruins (Local): 96.74%; Oklahoma St Cowgirls (Visit): 3.26%. For Oklahoma St Cowgirls (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 30.70. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 31.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.980%.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.88%EV -3.26%E -3.26%K +0.000%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV +0.980%E +0.032%K +0.033%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-24 01:59
Caesars🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.61%EV -3.26%E -3.26%K +0.000%G +0.000%28.50I 3.51%NM 3.39%EV -7.16%E -0.251%K -0.260%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-24 01:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%1.0%2026-03-24 02:00