Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos v UC Riverside Highlanders

Kickoff: 2026-03-11 21:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Local)

Prediction 71.47%1.40fair odd
EV +1.49%
Edge +1.05%
Kelly +3.54%
Growth +0.053%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.35%70.65%72.04%72.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.331.311.4277.52%75.19%76.63%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UC Riverside Highlanders (Visit)

Prediction 28.53%3.50fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -0.880%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.51%29.35%27.96%33.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.233.353.4035.71%31.01%29.85%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Local): 71.47%; UC Riverside Highlanders (Visit): 28.53%. For UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.40. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.42, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.49%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +1.49%E +1.05%K +3.54%G +0.053%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -20.11%E -7.18%K -11.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 21:29
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.80%E -2.06%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 21:40
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -2.80%E -2.06%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -15.83%E -5.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 21:40
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.38%E -4.87%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.99%E -0.880%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 21:39
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 21:40
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 21:40
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 21:40
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.81%E -6.05%K -26.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -2.99%E -0.880%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 21:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%9.0%2026-03-11 21:40