The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UC San Diego Tritons v Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 22:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC San Diego Tritons (Local)

Prediction 46.50%2.15fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -2.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%46.35%46.81%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.042.002.1050.00%49.09%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors (Visit)

Prediction 53.50%1.87fair odd
EV -5.30%
Edge -3.00%
Kelly -6.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%53.65%53.19%54.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.751.761.7758.48%57.14%56.82%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC San Diego Tritons (Local): 46.50%; Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors (Visit): 53.50%. For UC San Diego Tritons (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.15. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -2.35%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.35%E -1.12%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.30%E -3.00%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 18:35
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.35%E -1.12%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.91%E -3.97%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 19:10
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -4.21%E -2.05%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -7.44%E -4.30%K -10.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 19:15
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.00%E -3.50%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.30%E -3.00%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 22:00
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.00%E -3.50%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.30%E -3.00%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 19:00
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.00%E -3.50%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.84%E -3.32%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 19:55
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.00%E -3.50%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.51%E -4.98%K -11.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 19:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-03-14 22:00