The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Troy Trojans v James Madison Dukes

Kickoff: 2026-03-09 18:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Troy Trojans (Local)

Prediction 28.31%3.53fair odd
EV +1.93%
Edge +0.537%
Kelly +0.744%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.68%28.23%28.42%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.603.083.253.6038.46%32.49%30.77%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

James Madison Dukes (Visit)

Prediction 71.69%1.39fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -6.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.67%71.77%71.58%73.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.311.311.3676.92%76.08%76.34%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Troy Trojans (Local): 28.31%; James Madison Dukes (Visit): 71.69%. For Troy Trojans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.93%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.93%E +0.537%K +0.744%G +0.014%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -6.09%E -4.65%K -19.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 18:00
FanDuel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -5.14%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.81%E -5.24%K -22.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 17:59
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.38%E -4.07%K -16.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 18:00
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.09%E -4.65%K -19.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-09 18:00
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.98%E -2.45%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.51%E -1.84%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 17:59
Fliff🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.66%E -3.50%K -14.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 18:00
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.33%EV -26.38%E -10.15%K -16.49%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 66.67%EV -6.81%E -5.24%K -22.70%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-09 17:59
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.33%EV -26.38%E -10.15%K -16.49%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 66.67%EV -6.81%E -5.24%K -22.70%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-09 17:59
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.33%EV -26.38%E -10.15%K -16.49%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 66.67%EV -6.81%E -5.24%K -22.70%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-09 17:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%3.0%2026-03-09 18:00