The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Texas Tech Red Raiders v Villanova Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 00:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local)

Prediction 52.21%1.92fair odd
EV -4.45%
Edge -2.43%
Kelly -5.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.97%52.60%52.22%55.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.801.821.8357.47%55.49%54.95%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Villanova Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 47.79%2.09fair odd
EV +2.26%
Edge +1.06%
Kelly +1.99%
Growth +0.045%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.85%47.40%47.78%48.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.002.002.1451.28%49.95%50.00%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local): 52.21%; Villanova Wildcats (Visit): 47.79%. For Villanova Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.14, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.26%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -9.15%E -5.26%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV +2.26%E +1.06%K +1.99%G +0.045%4.2%2026-03-17 01:45
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.97%E -2.73%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.47%E -1.72%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 00:15
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.97%E -2.73%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.47%E -1.72%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 00:15
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.43%E -2.21%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 18:35
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.43%E -2.21%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 17:05
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.43%E -2.21%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 15:57
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.38%E -2.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -7.06%E -3.97%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -6.34%E -3.23%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 00:15
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.02%E -3.34%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.82%E -3.49%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 17:04
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -9.15%E -5.26%K -12.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -6.82%E -3.49%K -7.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 00:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%2.8%2026-03-21 00:10
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%2.9%2026-03-21 00:25