Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns v Ole Miss Rebels

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns (Local)

Prediction 91.42%1.09fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -2.92%
Kelly -51.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.83%91.55%91.32%92.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.031.041.0699.01%96.77%96.15%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ole Miss Rebels (Visit)

Prediction 8.58%11.66fair odd
EV +11.48%
Edge +0.883%
Kelly +0.957%
Growth +0.110%

assuming max odds 13.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.21%8.45%8.68%9.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.5011.7711.6513.009.52%8.50%8.58%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Longhorns (Local): 91.42%; Ole Miss Rebels (Visit): 8.58%. For Ole Miss Rebels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.66. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.48%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.66%E -7.59%K -766.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +11.48%E +0.883%K +0.957%G +0.110%6.7%2026-03-07 23:24
Unibet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.66%E -7.59%K -766.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +11.48%E +0.883%K +0.957%G +0.110%6.7%2026-03-07 23:24
Bally Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.66%E -7.59%K -766.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +11.48%E +0.883%K +0.957%G +0.110%6.7%2026-03-07 23:24
Caesars🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.92%E -4.73%K -122.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +2.91%E +0.242%K +0.264%G +0.008%4.5%2026-03-07 19:50
Fliff🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.95%EV -6.75%E -6.61%K -337.36%G +0.000%11.65I 8.58%NM 8.05%EV -0.094%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 23:39
BetMGM🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -5.67%E -0.515%K -0.567%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 16:34
theScore Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.92%E -4.73%K -122.97%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -5.67%E -0.515%K -0.567%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 20:05
Fanatics🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.02%EV -3.09%E -2.92%K -51.50%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.98%EV -7.81%E -0.727%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 19:49
DraftKings🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.09%E -2.92%K -51.50%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -9.96%E -0.948%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 23:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-03-07 23:54