The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Texas Longhorns v Kentucky Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-03-28 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns (Local)

Prediction 89.41%1.12fair odd
EV -4.33%
Edge -4.05%
Kelly -61.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.62%89.19%89.37%89.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.061.061.0795.24%93.98%93.90%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kentucky Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 10.59%9.44fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -0.279%
Kelly -0.314%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 9.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.33%10.81%10.63%12.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.739.009.2013.33%11.45%11.11%10.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Longhorns (Local): 89.41%; Kentucky Wildcats (Visit): 10.59%. For Kentucky Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 9.20, with an expected value of -2.57%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.33%E -4.05%K -61.88%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.69%E -0.521%K -0.586%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 19:58
Caesars🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.33%E -4.05%K -61.88%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.69%E -0.521%K -0.586%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 19:58
BetMGM🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.33%E -4.05%K -61.88%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.69%E -0.521%K -0.586%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 13:19
Unibet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.33%E -4.05%K -61.88%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.98%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 23:19
Bally Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.33%E -4.05%K -61.88%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.98%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 23:19
FanDuel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.67%EV -5.23%E -4.93%K -87.09%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.33%EV -2.57%E -0.279%K -0.314%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 15:24
Fanatics🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.23%E -4.93%K -87.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.69%E -0.521%K -0.586%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 19:19
theScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.23%E -4.93%K -87.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.69%E -0.521%K -0.586%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-24 17:29
BetRivers🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.23%E -4.93%K -87.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -20.57%E -2.74%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 14:10
Fliff🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.12%EV -6.12%E -5.83%K -122.39%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.88%EV -8.93%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 22:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.1%2026-03-27 01:40
Novig◎1.04I 96.15%NM 89.40%8.77I 11.40%NM 10.60%7.6%2026-03-28 02:24