Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns v Georgia Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 03:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

97%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns (Local)

Prediction 97.09%1.03fair odd

EV -1.94%

Edge -1.92%

Kelly -194.30%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

96.84%97.08%97.09%97.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.001.001.001.01100.00%99.75%100.00%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Georgia Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 2.91%34.32fair odd

EV +4.90%

Edge +0.136%

Kelly +0.140%

Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 36.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

2.70%2.92%2.91%3.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

31.0033.5033.5036.003.23%2.99%2.99%2.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Longhorns (Local): 97.09%; Georgia Bulldogs (Visit): 2.91%. For Georgia Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 34.32. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 36.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.90%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30%EV -2.91%E -2.91%K +0.000%G +0.000%	36.00I 2.78%NM 2.70%EV +4.90%E +0.136%K +0.140%G +0.007%	2.8%	2026-02-26 16:35
FanDuel🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30%EV -2.91%E -2.91%K +0.000%G +0.000%	36.00I 2.78%NM 2.70%EV +4.90%E +0.136%K +0.140%G +0.007%	2.8%	2026-02-26 21:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.84%EV -1.94%E -1.92%K -194.30%G +0.000%	31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%EV -9.67%E -0.312%K -0.322%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-02-27 00:45
Fanatics🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 96.88%EV -2.91%E -2.91%K +0.000%G +0.000%	31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV -9.67%E -0.312%K -0.322%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-02-26 21:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.02I 98.04%NM 97.03%	33.33I 3.00%NM 2.97%	1.0%	2026-02-27 02:19
Novig◎	1.00I 100.00%NM 96.81%	30.30I 3.30%NM 3.19%	3.3%	2026-02-26 21:49