The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Texas Longhorns v Alabama Crimson Tide

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 01:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns (Local)

Prediction 90.59%1.10fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -27.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.97%90.65%90.66%93.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.041.031.0898.04%96.36%97.09%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit)

Prediction 9.41%10.62fair odd
EV +41.20%
Edge +2.75%
Kelly +2.94%
Growth +1.21%

assuming max odds 15.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.43%9.35%9.34%12.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.9010.9311.5015.0012.66%9.15%8.70%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Longhorns (Local): 90.59%; Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit): 9.41%. For Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.62. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +41.20%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -6.70%E -6.50%K -223.20%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +41.20%E +2.75%K +2.94%G +1.21%3.8%2026-03-07 01:29
BetMGM🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.79%E -5.57%K -144.75%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +12.96%E +1.08%K +1.18%G +0.153%4.5%2026-03-07 01:29
BetRivers🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -7.60%E -7.45%K -380.09%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +8.26%E +0.718%K +0.786%G +0.065%6.7%2026-03-07 01:30
Unibet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -7.60%E -7.45%K -380.09%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +8.26%E +0.718%K +0.786%G +0.065%6.7%2026-03-07 01:30
Bally Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -7.60%E -7.45%K -380.09%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +8.26%E +0.718%K +0.786%G +0.065%6.7%2026-03-07 01:29
Fliff🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.82%EV -7.60%E -7.45%K -380.09%G +0.000%11.45I 8.73%NM 8.18%EV +7.78%E +0.680%K +0.745%G +0.058%6.8%2026-03-07 01:29
theScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.98%E -3.75%K -66.31%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -15.28%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 01:30
FanDuel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -19.99%E -2.35%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 01:30
Fanatics🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.97%EV -2.17%E -2.01%K -27.08%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.03%EV -25.63%E -3.24%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 01:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86%1.6%2026-03-07 01:30
Novig◎1.00I 100.00%NM 90.01%9.01I 11.10%NM 9.99%11.1%2026-03-07 01:29