Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas A&M Aggies v Mississippi St Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas A&M Aggies (Local)

Prediction 40.96%2.44fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.707%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.00%40.94%40.99%41.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.302.302.4044.44%43.50%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mississippi St Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 59.04%1.69fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -3.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.23%59.06%59.01%60.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.611.611.6564.10%62.20%62.11%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas A&M Aggies (Local): 40.96%; Mississippi St Bulldogs (Visit): 59.04%. For Texas A&M Aggies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -1.70%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.70%E -0.707%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-26 22:39
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 16:30
FanDuel🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00%EV -4.15%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -7.90%E -5.06%K -14.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 22:39
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.58%E -1.57%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 16:25
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.95%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 22:39
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.95%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 16:40
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.95%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 16:40
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 19:20
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.13%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 21:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-02-27 00:54