Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas A&M Aggies v Auburn Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas A&M Aggies (Local)

Prediction 68.98%1.45fair odd
EV -3.43%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -8.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.44%69.03%68.60%71.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.361.361.4075.76%73.65%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Auburn Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 31.02%3.22fair odd
EV +0.817%
Edge +0.251%
Kelly +0.363%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.88%30.97%31.40%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.103.053.2534.48%32.22%32.79%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas A&M Aggies (Local): 68.98%; Auburn Tigers (Visit): 31.02%. For Auburn Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.22. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.817%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -8.95%E -6.78%K -27.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +0.817%E +0.251%K +0.363%G +0.003%6.5%2026-03-04 22:15
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -8.95%E -6.78%K -27.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +0.817%E +0.251%K +0.363%G +0.003%6.5%2026-03-04 22:15
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.19%E -4.55%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.734%E -0.229%K -0.334%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.95%E -6.78%K -27.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -0.734%E -0.229%K -0.334%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 22:15
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.43%E -2.45%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -5.39%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 19:55
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.43%E -2.45%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -5.39%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 16:34
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -7.57%E -5.65%K -22.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -5.39%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -6.19%E -4.55%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -7.56%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 17:35
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.43%E -2.45%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.04%E -3.46%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 18:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-03-04 22:55
Novig1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%8.5%2026-03-04 19:20