Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee Volunteers v Vanderbilt Commodores

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee Volunteers (Local)

Prediction 36.78%2.72fair odd
EV +2.97%
Edge +1.06%
Kelly +1.65%
Growth +0.049%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.65%36.53%36.89%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.642.602.8040.00%37.91%38.46%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vanderbilt Commodores (Visit)

Prediction 63.22%1.58fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -6.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%63.47%63.11%66.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.481.481.5370.92%67.66%67.34%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tennessee Volunteers (Local): 36.78%; Vanderbilt Commodores (Visit): 63.22%. For Tennessee Volunteers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.72. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.97%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +2.97%E +1.06%K +1.65%G +0.049%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -10.22%E -7.20%K -24.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 18:19
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +2.97%E +1.06%K +1.65%G +0.049%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -10.22%E -7.20%K -24.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 18:19
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV +1.13%E +0.412%K +0.648%G +0.007%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -10.85%E -7.70%K -26.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 18:19
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.54%E -0.960%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.16%E -3.44%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 15:44
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.38%E -1.69%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.27%E -2.14%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 16:39
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.38%E -1.69%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.90%E -2.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 18:50
FanDuel🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -5.12%E -1.98%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.70%EV -7.06%E -4.80%K -15.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 16:54
Caesars🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.22%E -2.44%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.27%E -2.14%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 15:42
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.22%E -2.44%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.33%E -5.74%K -18.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 18:50
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.06%E -3.22%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.27%E -2.14%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 15:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%3.0%2026-03-01 18:50