The School of College Oddsodds.college
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TCU Horned Frogs v West Virginia Mountaineers

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 21:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TCU Horned Frogs (Local)

Prediction 57.56%1.74fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -4.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.69%57.74%57.40%59.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.641.631.6862.11%60.98%61.35%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit)

Prediction 42.44%2.36fair odd
EV +1.85%
Edge +0.773%
Kelly +1.32%
Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.30%42.26%42.60%43.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.242.232.4046.51%44.72%44.84%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TCU Horned Frogs (Local): 57.56%; West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit): 42.44%. For West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.85%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +1.85%E +0.773%K +1.32%G +0.025%3.4%2026-03-08 15:34
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.39%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 15:05
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.51%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 16:30
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.94%E -2.20%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 16:19
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.18%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -5.36%E -2.40%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 16:29
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.18%E -3.79%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -5.36%E -2.40%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 16:29
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.87%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 20:52
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 16:29
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -5.02%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -8.33%E -3.86%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 16:19
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 16:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%2.7%2026-03-08 16:20
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%4.9%2026-03-08 20:59