Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

TCU Horned Frogs v Washington Huskies

Kickoff: 2026-03-23 02:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

83%

17%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TCU Horned Frogs (Local)

Prediction 82.63%1.21fair odd

EV -2.50%

Edge -2.12%

Kelly -13.90%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

80.59%82.44%82.71%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.121.151.141.1889.29%87.18%87.72%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Huskies (Visit)

Prediction 17.37%5.76fair odd

EV +4.25%

Edge +0.708%

Kelly +0.849%

Growth +0.036%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

15.97%17.56%17.29%19.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.905.535.536.0020.41%18.08%18.10%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TCU Horned Frogs (Local): 82.63%; Washington Huskies (Visit): 17.37%. For Washington Huskies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.76. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.25%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Unibet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.81%E -5.09%K -41.48%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +4.25%E +0.708%K +0.849%G +0.036%	4.4%	2026-03-23 02:04
Bally Bet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.81%E -5.09%K -41.48%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +4.25%E +0.708%K +0.849%G +0.036%	4.4%	2026-03-23 02:04
BetRivers🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -7.46%E -6.66%K -62.16%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -2.70%E -0.483%K -0.588%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-23 02:04
DraftKings🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.15%E -3.58%K -25.97%G +0.000%	5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -3.57%E -0.643%K -0.785%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-03-23 02:04
Fanatics🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.96%EV -5.81%E -5.09%K -41.48%G +0.000%	5.55I 18.02%NM 17.04%EV -3.57%E -0.643%K -0.785%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-03-23 02:04
BetMGM🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.15%E -3.58%K -25.97%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -4.44%E -0.807%K -0.987%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-03-23 02:04
theScore Bet🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -51.02%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.44%E -0.807%K -0.987%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-23 02:00
Fliff🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -51.02%G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -6.18%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-23 02:00
Caesars🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.33%E -2.84%K -19.58%G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -7.92%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-23 02:03
FanDuel🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.50%E -2.12%K -13.90%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.86%E -3.03%K -3.81%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-23 02:04

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%	4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53%	2.3%	2026-03-23 02:05
Novig◎	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.88%	4.95I 20.20%NM 19.12%	5.7%	2026-03-23 01:56