Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

TCU Horned Frogs v UC San Diego Tritons

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TCU Horned Frogs (Local)

Prediction 98.08%1.02fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly +0.000%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
98.08%98.08%98.08%98.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.001.001.00100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UC San Diego Tritons (Visit)

Prediction 1.92%52.00fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -0.038%
Kelly -0.038%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 51.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
1.92%1.92%1.92%1.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
51.0051.0051.0051.001.96%1.96%1.96%1.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TCU Horned Frogs (Local): 98.08%; UC San Diego Tritons (Visit): 1.92%. For TCU Horned Frogs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.00, with an expected value of -1.92%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%EV -1.92%E -1.92%K +0.000%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%EV -1.92%E -0.038%K -0.038%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-20 10:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%1.0%2026-03-19 09:05