The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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TCU Horned Frogs v Kansas St Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 21:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TCU Horned Frogs (Local)

Prediction 84.26%1.19fair odd
EV -3.94%
Edge -3.46%
Kelly -28.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.70%84.20%84.17%85.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.131.131.1490.09%88.89%88.89%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas St Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 15.74%6.35fair odd
EV +2.30%
Edge +0.354%
Kelly +0.418%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.59%15.80%15.83%17.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.405.895.806.5018.52%16.98%17.24%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TCU Horned Frogs (Local): 84.26%; Kansas St Wildcats (Visit): 15.74%. For Kansas St Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.35. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.30%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.63%E -5.02%K -46.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +2.30%E +0.354%K +0.418%G +0.010%4.7%2026-03-07 19:09
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.47%E -5.83%K -58.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.30%E +0.354%K +0.418%G +0.010%5.5%2026-03-07 20:59
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.78%E -4.23%K -36.80%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -1.63%E -0.261%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 20:50
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -6.47%E -5.83%K -58.82%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -7.14%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 18:05
Fliff🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.05%EV -6.47%E -5.83%K -58.82%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.95%EV -7.93%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 20:59
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.94%E -3.46%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.50%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 20:46
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.63%E -5.02%K -46.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -9.50%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 18:05
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.94%E -3.46%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 18:05
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.94%E -3.46%K -28.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 18:04
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.78%E -4.23%K -36.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -15.01%E -2.78%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 18:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.12I 89.29%NM 87.29%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.71%2.3%2026-03-07 20:59