Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Syracuse Orange v California Golden Bears

Kickoff: 2026-03-05 22:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Syracuse Orange (Local)

Prediction 59.47%1.68fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -2.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.69%59.21%59.43%60.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.591.581.6563.69%62.84%63.29%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

California Golden Bears (Visit)

Prediction 40.53%2.47fair odd
EV -0.698%
Edge -0.285%
Kelly -0.481%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.05%40.79%40.57%43.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.162.322.302.4546.30%43.18%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Syracuse Orange (Local): 59.47%; California Golden Bears (Visit): 40.53%. For California Golden Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.45, with an expected value of -0.698%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -1.88%E -1.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -12.45%E -5.76%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 22:00
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.26%E -2.64%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.78%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 21:59
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.45%E -3.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.72%E -1.14%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 21:59
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.04%E -3.82%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.78%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 22:00
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.63%E -4.23%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.698%E -0.285%K -0.481%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 22:00
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.63%E -4.23%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.78%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 22:00
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.63%E -4.23%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.78%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 22:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-03-05 22:00
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.36%8.2%2026-03-05 21:59