Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stony Brook Seawolves v Monmouth Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 18:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

46%

54%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stony Brook Seawolves (Local)

Prediction 45.50%2.20fair odd

EV -4.44%

Edge -2.12%

Kelly -4.04%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

44.30%45.50%45.50%45.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.062.072.072.1048.54%48.19%48.31%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Monmouth Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 54.50%1.83fair odd

EV -5.72%

Edge -3.31%

Kelly -7.84%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

54.47%54.50%54.50%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.671.711.731.7359.88%58.39%57.97%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stony Brook Seawolves (Local): 45.50%; Monmouth Hawks (Visit): 54.50%. For Stony Brook Seawolves (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.20. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -4.44%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Fliff🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.44%E -2.12%K -4.04%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.99%E -5.38%K -13.42%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-03-13 18:15
Unibet🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -5.81%E -2.81%K -5.43%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -5.72%E -3.31%K -7.84%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-13 17:39
Bally Bet🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -5.81%E -2.81%K -5.43%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -5.72%E -3.31%K -7.84%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-13 17:40
BetRivers🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -6.26%E -3.04%K -5.91%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.26%E -3.64%K -8.70%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-13 17:40

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%	1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%	1.9%	2026-03-13 18:25