The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Southern Utah Thunderbirds v UT-Arlington Mavericks

Kickoff: 2026-03-12 21:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southern Utah Thunderbirds (Local)

Prediction 66.74%1.50fair odd
EV -3.89%
Edge -2.70%
Kelly -8.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.35%66.87%66.82%67.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.401.401.4472.46%71.30%71.68%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UT-Arlington Mavericks (Visit)

Prediction 33.26%3.01fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.24%33.13%33.18%33.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.862.882.9035.71%34.98%34.78%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Southern Utah Thunderbirds (Local): 66.74%; UT-Arlington Mavericks (Visit): 33.26%. For UT-Arlington Mavericks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.90, with an expected value of -3.56%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.89%E -2.70%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.22%E -1.83%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 21:29
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.56%E -3.19%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.56%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 21:29
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.22%E -3.68%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.88%E -2.46%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 21:30
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.82%EV -6.56%E -4.68%K -16.40%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -6.22%E -2.21%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 21:30
Fliff🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -7.23%E -5.20%K -18.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.88%E -2.46%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 21:30
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.89%E -5.72%K -20.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -3.56%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 21:30
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.89%E -5.72%K -20.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -3.56%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 21:30
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.89%E -5.72%K -20.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -3.56%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 21:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%2.0%2026-03-12 21:30