Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southern Jaguars v Jackson St Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-03-12 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

82%

18%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southern Jaguars (Local)

Prediction 81.81%1.22fair odd

EV -3.46%

Edge -2.93%

Kelly -19.22%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

80.37%81.81%80.91%84.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.111.161.171.1890.09%86.36%85.47%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jackson St Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 18.19%5.50fair odd

EV +7.29%

Edge +1.24%

Kelly +1.49%

Growth +0.109%

assuming max odds 5.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

15.83%18.19%19.09%19.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.755.054.805.9021.05%19.80%20.83%16.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Southern Jaguars (Local): 81.81%; Jackson St Tigers (Visit): 18.19%. For Jackson St Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.50. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -9.19%E -8.28%K -83.51%G +0.000%	5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV +7.29%E +1.24%K +1.49%G +0.109%	7.0%	2026-03-12 14:55
BetMGM🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.46%E -2.93%K -19.22%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.07%E -1.81%K -2.27%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-12 14:45
Unibet🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.28%E -3.66%K -25.16%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -12.71%E -2.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-12 14:50
Bally Bet🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.28%E -3.66%K -25.16%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -12.71%E -2.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-12 14:50
BetRivers🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -5.10%E -4.39%K -31.84%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -13.62%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-03-12 14:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%	5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%	1.0%	2026-03-12 14:50