The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Southern Illinois Salukis v Indiana St Sycamores

Kickoff: 2026-03-12 20:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southern Illinois Salukis (Local)

Prediction 66.16%1.51fair odd
EV -4.07%
Edge -2.81%
Kelly -9.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.06%66.11%66.16%67.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.421.401.4572.46%70.56%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indiana St Sycamores (Visit)

Prediction 33.84%2.95fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -0.880%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.62%33.89%33.84%34.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.832.852.8837.04%35.34%35.09%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Southern Illinois Salukis (Local): 66.16%; Indiana St Sycamores (Visit): 33.84%. For Indiana St Sycamores (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.95. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.88, with an expected value of -2.53%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.24%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 20:29
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.63%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 20:29
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.73%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.55%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:29
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.53%E -0.880%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 20:30
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.53%E -0.880%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 20:30
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.55%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 20:30
Fliff🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.70%E -6.31%K -22.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.55%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 20:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%6.1%2026-03-12 20:30