The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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South Florida Bulls v UTSA Roadrunners

Kickoff: 2026-03-12 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Florida Bulls (Local)

Prediction 80.17%1.25fair odd
EV -4.60%
Edge -3.86%
Kelly -24.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.04%80.17%80.07%81.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.171.171.1986.96%85.59%85.84%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UTSA Roadrunners (Visit)

Prediction 19.83%5.04fair odd
EV -0.845%
Edge -0.169%
Kelly -0.211%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.83%19.83%19.93%20.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.454.774.805.0022.47%20.94%20.83%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Florida Bulls (Local): 80.17%; UTSA Roadrunners (Visit): 19.83%. For UTSA Roadrunners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.04. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.00, with an expected value of -0.845%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.60%E -3.86%K -24.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.78%E -1.91%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 20:00
Fliff🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.04%EV -5.40%E -4.58%K -30.00%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -11.75%E -2.64%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 20:00
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.20%E -5.30%K -36.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -6.79%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 20:00
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.00%E -6.04%K -43.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.845%E -0.169%K -0.211%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 20:00
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.00%E -6.04%K -43.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.845%E -0.169%K -0.211%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 20:00
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -7.81%E -6.79%K -52.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -2.83%E -0.577%K -0.725%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 20:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.18I 84.75%NM 80.13%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.87%5.8%2026-03-12 20:00