Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Florida Bulls v Temple Owls

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Florida Bulls (Local)

Prediction 80.67%1.24fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -2.66%
Kelly -15.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.95%80.67%81.30%81.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.161.151.2087.72%86.21%86.96%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Temple Owls (Visit)

Prediction 19.33%5.17fair odd
EV +1.46%
Edge +0.278%
Kelly +0.343%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.12%19.33%18.70%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.025.105.2522.22%19.93%19.61%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Florida Bulls (Local): 80.67%; Temple Owls (Visit): 19.33%. For Temple Owls (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.46%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.61%E -4.80%K -33.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +1.46%E +0.278%K +0.343%G +0.005%4.5%2026-03-03 23:10
Fliff🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.88%EV -8.03%E -7.04%K -57.36%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.12%EV -0.474%E -0.092%K -0.114%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 23:15
Unibet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -7.22%E -6.28%K -48.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -1.44%E -0.282%K -0.351%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-03 20:45
Bally Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -7.22%E -6.28%K -48.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -1.44%E -0.282%K -0.351%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-03 20:45
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.22%E -6.28%K -48.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.37%E -0.675%K -0.843%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 20:45
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.19%E -2.66%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.04%E -2.90%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 23:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-03-03 23:20