Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Dakota Coyotes v Denver Pioneers

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 20:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

86%

14%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Dakota Coyotes (Local)

Prediction 85.78%1.17fair odd

EV -2.21%

Edge -1.94%

Kelly -15.80%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

84.03%85.78%85.79%87.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.071.091.081.1493.46%91.60%92.59%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Denver Pioneers (Visit)

Prediction 14.22%7.03fair odd

EV +6.66%

Edge +0.888%

Kelly +1.02%

Growth +0.068%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

12.49%14.22%14.21%15.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

6.006.987.107.5016.67%14.32%14.08%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Dakota Coyotes (Local): 85.78%; Denver Pioneers (Visit): 14.22%. For Denver Pioneers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.03. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.66%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetRivers🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -8.22%E -7.68%K -117.39%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +6.66%E +0.888%K +1.02%G +0.068%	6.8%	2026-03-06 20:35
Unibet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -8.22%E -7.68%K -117.39%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +6.66%E +0.888%K +1.02%G +0.068%	6.8%	2026-03-06 20:35
Bally Bet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -8.22%E -7.68%K -117.39%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +6.66%E +0.888%K +1.02%G +0.068%	6.8%	2026-03-06 20:35
Fanatics🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.79%E -4.31%K -43.51%G +0.000%	6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -4.72%E -0.704%K -0.827%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-06 20:35
Fliff🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 86.01%EV -6.50%E -5.96%K -72.24%G +0.000%	6.70I 14.93%NM 13.99%EV -4.72%E -0.704%K -0.827%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-06 20:29
BetMGM🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.21%E -1.94%K -15.80%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -14.67%E -2.45%K -2.93%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-03-06 20:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%	1.9%	2026-03-06 20:35