Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Carolina Gamecocks v Texas Longhorns

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 19:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Carolina Gamecocks (Local)

Prediction 62.07%1.61fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.826%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.15%62.05%62.03%63.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.521.501.5967.11%65.92%66.45%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Longhorns (Visit)

Prediction 37.93%2.64fair odd
EV +0.523%
Edge +0.198%
Kelly +0.317%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.14%37.95%37.97%39.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.512.502.6541.67%39.90%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Carolina Gamecocks (Local): 62.07%; Texas Longhorns (Visit): 37.93%. For Texas Longhorns (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.523%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.90%E -4.60%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.523%E +0.198%K +0.317%G +0.002%4.4%2026-03-08 19:02
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -6.28%E -4.16%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV +0.144%E +0.055%K +0.088%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 19:10
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.52%E -5.05%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.27%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 19:09
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.52%E -5.05%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.27%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 19:10
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 19:10
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -7.52%E -5.05%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 19:09
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.52%E -5.05%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 19:09
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -5.66%E -3.72%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -8.20%E -3.39%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 19:10
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.31%E -0.826%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 19:09
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.18%E -2.04%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 19:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-03-08 19:10
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 72.97%2.70I 37.04%NM 27.03%37.0%2026-03-08 19:02