Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.59
assuming max odds 2.65
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Carolina Gamecocks (Local): 62.07%; Texas Longhorns (Visit): 37.93%. For Texas Longhorns (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.523%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.90%E -4.60%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.523%E +0.198%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 19:02 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -6.28%E -4.16%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV +0.144%E +0.055%K +0.088%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 19:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.52%E -5.05%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.27%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.52%E -5.05%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.27%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 19:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 19:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -7.52%E -5.05%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.52%E -5.05%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -5.66%E -3.72%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -8.20%E -3.39%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 19:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.31%E -0.826%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.18%E -2.04%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.0% | 2026-03-08 19:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 72.97% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 27.03% | 37.0% | 2026-03-08 19:02 |