Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Carolina Gamecocks v Ole Miss Rebels

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Carolina Gamecocks (Local)

Prediction 94.36%1.06fair odd
EV -3.76%
Edge -3.68%
Kelly -187.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
91.85%94.03%94.37%94.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.011.021.0299.01%98.52%98.52%98.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ole Miss Rebels (Visit)

Prediction 5.64%17.72fair odd
EV +7.20%
Edge +0.379%
Kelly +0.400%
Growth +0.029%

assuming max odds 19.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.09%5.97%5.63%8.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.5015.8116.5019.008.70%6.32%6.06%5.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Carolina Gamecocks (Local): 94.36%; Ole Miss Rebels (Visit): 5.64%. For Ole Miss Rebels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 17.72. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 19.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.20%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.76%E -3.68%K -187.75%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +7.20%E +0.379%K +0.400%G +0.029%3.3%2026-02-22 15:55
DraftKings🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -3.76%E -3.68%K -187.75%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +1.56%E +0.087%K +0.092%G +0.001%3.6%2026-02-22 15:30
Caesars🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.76%E -3.68%K -187.75%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -4.08%E -0.240%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 15:29
BetMGM🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.70%E -4.65%K -469.86%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -4.08%E -0.240%K -0.255%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 15:50
FanDuel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.70%E -4.65%K -469.86%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -9.72%E -0.608%K -0.648%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 15:34
Unibet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.70%E -4.65%K -469.86%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -21.01%E -1.50%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 16:50
Bally Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.70%E -4.65%K -469.86%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -21.01%E -1.50%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 16:50
BetRivers🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -3.76%E -3.68%K -187.75%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -35.11%E -3.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 16:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.03I 97.09%NM 95.10%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.90%2.1%2026-02-22 16:30
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 94.16%16.13I 6.20%NM 5.84%6.2%2026-02-22 16:35