Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Carolina Gamecocks v Kentucky Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 17:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

90%

10%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Carolina Gamecocks (Local)

Prediction 89.80%1.11fair odd

EV -3.02%

Edge -2.80%

Kelly -37.76%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

87.97%89.64%89.96%90.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.031.051.051.0897.09%95.06%95.24%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kentucky Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 10.20%9.80fair odd

EV +2.05%

Edge +0.205%

Kelly +0.228%

Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 10.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

9.42%10.36%10.04%12.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

7.909.369.5010.0012.66%10.68%10.53%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Carolina Gamecocks (Local): 89.80%; Kentucky Wildcats (Visit): 10.20%. For Kentucky Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.80. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.05%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.82%E -4.54%K -80.28%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +2.05%E +0.205%K +0.228%G +0.005%	4.3%	2026-03-06 17:00
theScore Bet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.72%E -5.44%K -114.30%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +2.05%E +0.205%K +0.228%G +0.005%	5.2%	2026-03-06 16:59
Unibet🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.61%E -6.36%K -165.32%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +2.05%E +0.205%K +0.228%G +0.005%	6.2%	2026-03-06 17:00
Bally Bet🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.61%E -6.36%K -165.32%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +2.05%E +0.205%K +0.228%G +0.005%	6.2%	2026-03-06 17:00
BetMGM🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.82%E -4.54%K -80.28%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -3.05%E -0.322%K -0.359%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-03-06 16:59
BetRivers🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -7.51%E -7.29%K -250.36%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -3.05%E -0.322%K -0.359%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-06 17:00
Fliff🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 89.84%EV -6.61%E -6.36%K -165.32%G +0.000%	9.20I 10.87%NM 10.16%EV -6.12%E -0.665%K -0.746%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-06 17:00
DraftKings🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.92%E -3.66%K -55.99%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -8.16%E -0.906%K -1.02%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-03-06 17:00
FanDuel🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.72%E -5.44%K -114.30%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.26%E -1.56%K -1.77%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-06 17:00
Fanatics🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.97%EV -3.02%E -2.80%K -37.76%G +0.000%	7.90I 12.66%NM 12.03%EV -19.38%E -2.45%K -2.81%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-06 17:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14%	11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86%	1.6%	2026-03-06 17:00
Novig◎	1.00I 100.00%NM 91.07%	10.20I 9.80%NM 8.93%	9.8%	2026-03-06 16:59