Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Toreros v UC San Diego Tritons

Kickoff: 2026-11-07 23:28 UTC

Final: San Diego Toreros 88–90 UC San Diego Tritons

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

21%

79%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Toreros (Local)

Prediction 21.29%4.70fair odd

EV +1.12%

Edge +0.235%

Kelly +0.298%

Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

19.93%21.29%21.29%21.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.404.634.704.7522.73%21.62%21.28%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UC San Diego Tritons (Visit)

Prediction 78.71%1.27fair odd

EV -5.55%

Edge -4.62%

Kelly -27.73%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

78.71%78.71%78.71%80.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.171.191.191.2085.47%84.15%83.68%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Toreros (Local): 21.29%; UC San Diego Tritons (Visit): 78.71%. For San Diego Toreros (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.70. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.12%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Hard Rock Bet🎯	4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +1.12%E +0.235%K +0.298%G +0.003%	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.73%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-07 23:19
Unibet🎯	4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +0.054%E +0.011%K +0.015%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.73%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-07 23:10
Bally Bet🎯	4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +0.054%E +0.011%K +0.015%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.73%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-07 23:10
Fliff🎯	4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV +0.054%E +0.011%K +0.015%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -7.91%E -6.76%K -46.51%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-07 23:20
William Hill🎯	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.20%E -0.934%K -1.20%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.91%E -6.76%K -46.51%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-07 23:20
BetRivers🎯	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%	1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.33%E -5.32%K -33.33%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-11-07 23:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	2.00I 50.00%NM 39.94%	1.33I 75.19%NM 60.06%	25.2%	2026-11-07 23:25

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