The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

San Diego St Aztecs v Air Force Falcons

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 19:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego St Aztecs (Local)

Prediction 87.05%1.15fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -3.04%
Kelly -30.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.92%86.80%87.05%88.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.081.081.1193.46%92.23%92.59%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Air Force Falcons (Visit)

Prediction 12.95%7.72fair odd
EV +3.61%
Edge +0.451%
Kelly +0.516%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.80%13.20%12.95%15.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.257.257.508.0016.00%13.79%13.33%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego St Aztecs (Local): 87.05%; Air Force Falcons (Visit): 12.95%. For Air Force Falcons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.72. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.61%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.86%E -6.41%K -97.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +3.61%E +0.451%K +0.516%G +0.019%6.0%2026-03-08 18:59
Fanatics🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -4.25%E -3.86%K -42.46%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV -1.57%E -0.207%K -0.238%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 18:59
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.99%E -5.54%K -74.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.87%E -0.382%K -0.441%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 19:05
Bally Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.99%E -5.54%K -74.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.87%E -0.382%K -0.441%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 19:04
BetRivers🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.86%E -6.41%K -97.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.34%E -1.33%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 19:05
Fliff🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.47%EV -5.99%E -5.54%K -74.84%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.53%EV -10.64%E -1.54%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 19:03
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -3.38%E -3.04%K -30.69%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -19.05%E -3.05%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 19:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86%1.6%2026-03-08 19:05