Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samford Bulldogs v Chattanooga Mocs

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

33%

67%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samford Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 33.10%3.02fair odd

EV -4.69%

Edge -1.63%

Kelly -2.49%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

32.62%33.10%33.10%33.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.752.842.852.8836.36%35.19%35.09%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chattanooga Mocs (Visit)

Prediction 66.90%1.49fair odd

EV -3.66%

Edge -2.54%

Kelly -8.31%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

66.27%66.90%66.90%67.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.381.401.401.4472.46%71.23%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samford Bulldogs (Local): 33.10%; Chattanooga Mocs (Visit): 66.90%. For Chattanooga Mocs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.49. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.44, with an expected value of -3.66%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Unibet🎯	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.69%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.83%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-26 16:05
Bally Bet🎯	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.69%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.83%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-26 16:05
BetMGM🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.66%E -2.54%K -8.31%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-02-26 21:09
BetRivers🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.67%E -5.56%K -20.19%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-02-26 19:20
Fliff🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.83%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-02-26 21:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%	1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%	3.0%	2026-02-26 21:44