Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saint Louis Billikens v Eastern Illinois Panthers

Kickoff: 2026-11-11 22:00 UTC

Final: Saint Louis Billikens 64–58 Eastern Illinois Panthers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

91%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saint Louis Billikens (Local)

Prediction 91.06%1.10fair odd

EV -3.48%

Edge -3.28%

Kelly -57.92%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

89.46%91.06%91.06%92.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.021.041.031.0698.04%96.46%97.09%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Eastern Illinois Panthers (Visit)

Prediction 8.94%11.19fair odd

EV +16.21%

Edge +1.25%

Kelly +1.35%

Growth +0.219%

assuming max odds 13.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

7.28%8.94%8.94%10.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

9.0011.6713.0013.0011.11%8.57%7.69%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saint Louis Billikens (Local): 91.06%; Eastern Illinois Panthers (Visit): 8.94%. For Eastern Illinois Panthers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.19. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.21%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.21%E -6.03%K -206.91%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +16.21%E +1.25%K +1.35%G +0.219%	4.8%	2026-11-11 21:40
William Hill🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.12%E -6.98%K -355.89%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +16.21%E +1.25%K +1.35%G +0.219%	5.7%	2026-11-11 21:40
theScore Bet🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.48%E -3.28%K -57.92%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -19.55%E -2.17%K -2.44%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-11 21:40

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%	0.9%	2026-11-11 21:55

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