The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Rutgers Scarlet Knights v Penn State Nittany Lions

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rutgers Scarlet Knights (Local)

Prediction 38.52%2.60fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.697%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%38.93%38.52%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.442.402.5543.48%41.06%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit)

Prediction 61.48%1.63fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.631%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%61.07%61.48%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.541.6166.67%64.70%64.94%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rutgers Scarlet Knights (Local): 38.52%; Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit): 61.48%. For Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.63. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.61, with an expected value of -1.02%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -1.78%E -0.697%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.47%E -2.21%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-21 18:50
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.78%E -0.697%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.88%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 17:55
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.63%E -2.30%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.78%E -5.19%K -15.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 20:00
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.55%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.32%E -3.45%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 19:10
Bally Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.55%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.32%E -3.45%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 19:10
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.55%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.93%E -3.88%K -11.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 19:10
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -11.41%E -4.96%K -8.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.02%E -0.631%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 17:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-02-21 20:55