Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rutgers Scarlet Knights v Indiana Hoosiers

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rutgers Scarlet Knights (Local)

Prediction 22.28%4.49fair odd
EV +2.51%
Edge +0.545%
Kelly +0.697%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.42%22.18%22.28%23.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.364.334.6025.00%22.93%23.09%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indiana Hoosiers (Visit)

Prediction 77.72%1.29fair odd
EV -3.63%
Edge -2.93%
Kelly -15.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.63%77.82%77.72%79.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.201.191.2484.75%83.23%84.03%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rutgers Scarlet Knights (Local): 22.28%; Indiana Hoosiers (Visit): 77.72%. For Rutgers Scarlet Knights (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.49. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.51%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +2.51%E +0.545%K +0.697%G +0.017%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -8.30%E -7.03%K -46.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 20:35
Bally Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +2.51%E +0.545%K +0.697%G +0.017%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -8.30%E -7.03%K -46.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 20:35
BetRivers🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +0.279%E +0.062%K +0.080%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.30%E -7.03%K -46.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 20:34
BetMGM🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -3.51%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.19%E -4.25%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 21:00
Fanatics🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.29%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.63%E -2.93%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 20:04
Fliff🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -5.29%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -7.52%E -6.32%K -39.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 20:59
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.19%E -4.25%K -23.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 22:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%1.3%2026-02-25 23:50
Novig4.26I 23.47%NM 19.01%1.00I 100.00%NM 80.99%23.5%2026-02-25 23:35