Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Richmond Spiders v La Salle Explorers

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 00:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Richmond Spiders (Local)

Prediction 89.94%1.11fair odd
EV -3.77%
Edge -3.52%
Kelly -53.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.70%89.94%90.05%91.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.041.031.0798.04%96.31%97.09%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

La Salle Explorers (Visit)

Prediction 10.06%9.94fair odd
EV +12.69%
Edge +1.13%
Kelly +1.24%
Growth +0.158%

assuming max odds 11.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.35%10.06%9.95%11.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.4010.2710.7511.2011.90%9.74%9.30%8.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Richmond Spiders (Local): 89.94%; La Salle Explorers (Visit): 10.06%. For La Salle Explorers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.94. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.69%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fliff🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.65%EV -8.26%E -8.10%K -413.14%G +0.000%11.20I 8.93%NM 8.35%EV +12.69%E +1.13%K +1.24%G +0.158%7.0%2026-03-07 00:30
Unibet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.36%E -7.15%K -245.45%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +10.68%E +0.971%K +1.07%G +0.114%6.2%2026-03-07 00:29
Bally Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.36%E -7.15%K -245.45%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +10.68%E +0.971%K +1.07%G +0.114%6.2%2026-03-07 00:30
BetRivers🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -7.36%E -7.15%K -245.45%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV +5.65%E +0.538%K +0.594%G +0.034%6.6%2026-03-07 00:30
BetMGM🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.56%E -5.30%K -111.29%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -4.42%E -0.465%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 00:30
Fanatics🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -3.77%E -3.52%K -53.80%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -15.48%E -1.84%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 00:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.04I 96.15%NM 93.22%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.78%3.2%2026-03-07 00:29