Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rice Owls v UTSA Roadrunners

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 01:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rice Owls (Local)

Prediction 74.47%1.34fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -7.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.32%74.73%74.28%77.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.261.251.3182.64%79.65%80.00%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UTSA Roadrunners (Visit)

Prediction 25.53%3.92fair odd
EV +4.68%
Edge +1.14%
Kelly +1.51%
Growth +0.071%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.79%25.27%25.72%26.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.823.754.1027.78%26.16%26.67%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rice Owls (Local): 74.47%; UTSA Roadrunners (Visit): 25.53%. For UTSA Roadrunners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.92. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.68%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -9.15%E -7.50%K -41.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +4.68%E +1.14%K +1.51%G +0.071%6.4%2026-03-15 01:35
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -9.15%E -7.50%K -41.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +4.68%E +1.14%K +1.51%G +0.071%6.4%2026-03-15 01:35
BetRivers🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -9.89%E -8.18%K -47.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV +4.68%E +1.14%K +1.51%G +0.071%7.0%2026-03-15 01:35
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.66%E -6.18%K -31.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 01:35
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 01:35
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.53%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 01:29
Fliff🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.92%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -6.81%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 01:29
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.45%E -1.87%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -8.08%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 01:34
theScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.43%E -4.27%K -20.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.08%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 01:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%4.3%2026-03-15 01:35