Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rice Owls v North Texas Mean Green

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rice Owls (Local)

Prediction 62.89%1.59fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -2.05%
Kelly -5.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.71%62.89%62.89%65.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.521.541.5468.97%65.90%64.94%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Texas Mean Green (Visit)

Prediction 37.11%2.69fair odd
EV +0.204%
Edge +0.076%
Kelly +0.120%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.94%37.11%37.11%39.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.472.402.7042.02%40.49%41.67%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rice Owls (Local): 62.89%; North Texas Mean Green (Visit): 37.11%. For North Texas Mean Green (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.69. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.204%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.81%E -6.08%K -19.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +0.204%E +0.076%K +0.120%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 23:24
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.15%E -2.05%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -10.93%E -4.55%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-13 23:24
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.15%E -2.05%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -10.93%E -4.55%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-13 23:24
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -3.15%E -2.05%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -11.67%E -4.90%K -8.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 23:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%6.1%2026-03-13 23:25