Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rhode Island Rams v GW Revolutionaries

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 19:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

89%

11%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rhode Island Rams (Local)

Prediction 88.65%1.13fair odd

EV -4.26%

Edge -3.95%

Kelly -53.28%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

88.30%88.65%88.73%93.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.011.051.061.0899.01%95.01%94.34%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

GW Revolutionaries (Visit)

Prediction 11.35%8.81fair odd

EV +70.31%

Edge +4.69%

Kelly +5.02%

Growth +3.53%

assuming max odds 15.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

6.31%11.35%11.27%11.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

8.0010.008.5015.0012.50%10.00%11.76%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rhode Island Rams (Local): 88.65%; GW Revolutionaries (Visit): 11.35%. For GW Revolutionaries (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.81. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +70.31%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Bally Bet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -10.47%E -10.36%K -1046.72%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +70.31%E +4.69%K +5.02%G +3.53%	5.7%	2026-02-28 16:20
Fanatics🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.26%E -3.95%K -53.28%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.49%E -0.411%K -0.466%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-02-28 18:19
theScore Bet🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.03%E -5.69%K -100.58%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -3.49%E -0.411%K -0.466%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-02-28 18:19
FanDuel🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.03%E -5.69%K -100.58%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.17%E -1.15%K -1.31%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-02-28 18:19

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09%	14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%	1.3%	2026-02-28 18:04