Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Providence Friars v Marquette Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 22:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

30%

70%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Providence Friars (Local)

Prediction 29.64%3.37fair odd

EV +0.791%

Edge +0.233%

Kelly +0.330%

Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

28.12%29.85%29.76%32.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.883.203.253.4034.72%31.22%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Marquette Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 70.36%1.42fair odd

EV -2.91%

Edge -2.11%

Kelly -7.66%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

67.61%70.15%70.24%71.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.311.341.331.3876.34%74.69%75.19%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Providence Friars (Local): 29.64%; Marquette Golden Eagles (Visit): 70.36%. For Providence Friars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.791%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.791%E +0.233%K +0.330%G +0.003%	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.48%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-03-01 20:59
DraftKings🎯	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -0.691%E -0.206%K -0.294%G +0.000%	1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.83%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-01 21:59
Unibet🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.66%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.13%E -5.40%K -22.28%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-01 18:59
Bally Bet🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.66%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.13%E -5.40%K -22.28%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-01 18:59
Fliff🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -3.66%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -7.83%E -5.98%K -25.27%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-01 20:59
BetRivers🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.13%E -5.40%K -22.28%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-01 18:59
Fanatics🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%	1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.61%E -2.64%K -9.76%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-01 22:09
theScore Bet🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.17%K -11.99%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-01 22:05
FanDuel🎯	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -14.62%E -5.08%K -7.78%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.66%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-03-01 20:34

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	3.57I 28.01%NM 27.14%	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.86%	3.2%	2026-03-01 22:14