The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Providence Friars v DePaul Blue Demons

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 18:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Providence Friars (Local)

Prediction 54.93%1.82fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -3.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%55.03%55.05%57.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.731.7760.61%58.25%57.80%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

DePaul Blue Demons (Visit)

Prediction 45.07%2.22fair odd
EV +1.42%
Edge +0.630%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.60%44.97%44.95%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.092.052.2550.00%47.77%48.78%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Providence Friars (Local): 54.93%; DePaul Blue Demons (Visit): 45.07%. For DePaul Blue Demons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.42%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +1.42%E +0.630%K +1.13%G +0.016%4.3%2026-03-06 18:20
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.837%E -0.380%K -0.697%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 18:30
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.18%E -4.25%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 16:55
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.37%E -5.68%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 18:29
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.43%E -2.55%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 17:10
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.43%E -2.55%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 17:10
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -8.05%E -3.95%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 17:10
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.85%E -4.93%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 18:30
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -3.33%E -1.89%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -9.85%E -4.93%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 18:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%7.0%2026-03-06 18:30
Novig◎1.53I 65.36%NM 60.36%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%8.3%2026-03-06 18:00