The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Portland Pilots v Gonzaga Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 01:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Portland Pilots (Local)

Prediction 29.83%3.35fair odd
EV -0.074%
Edge -0.022%
Kelly -0.032%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.57%29.98%29.36%31.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.103.003.3533.90%32.26%33.33%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gonzaga Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 70.17%1.43fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -4.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.18%70.02%70.64%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.351.351.4075.76%73.87%73.80%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Pilots (Local): 29.83%; Gonzaga Bulldogs (Visit): 70.17%. For Portland Pilots (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.352. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.350, with an expected value of -0.074%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -0.074%E -0.022%K -0.032%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.97%E -4.46%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 01:05
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -1.57%E -0.474%K -0.681%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.37%E -5.59%K -23.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 01:03
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.55%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.67%E -5.02%K -20.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 00:59
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.76%E -1.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 01:04
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -3.87%E -2.82%K -10.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 01:04
Bally Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 01:04
Fliff🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.27%E -3.90%K -15.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 00:59
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -12.01%E -4.07%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 01:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%1.0%2026-03-01 01:05